High Probability Advisors, LLC
CIK 0002039415
Annualised vol
1.914905%
Beta
0.074563
HHI
607.913036
Top-10 weight
66.43182%
VaR 95%
0.177174%
VaR 99%
0.333837%
Max drawdown
3.683307%
Matched value
7.324669%
Returns of reported holdings
Loading returns…
Position changes vs prior quarter
What the latest 13F shows bought and sold against the quarter before, by share count.
| Ticker | Change | Shares now | Shares before | Share change % | Value now ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLK | ADDED | 881,484 | 831,989 | 5.95% | 59,949,737 |
| AAPL | ADDED | 4,848 | 4,829 | 0.39% | 1,402,721 |
| BNL | REDUCED | 47,014 | 51,949 | -9.5% | 971,780 |
| MSFT | REDUCED | 2,067 | 2,303 | -10.25% | 770,928 |
| GOOGL | REDUCED | 2,145 | 2,226 | -3.64% | 766,559 |
| TT | REDUCED | 1,360 | 1,399 | -2.79% | 667,978 |
| ETN | REDUCED | 1,226 | 1,338 | -8.37% | 522,424 |
| MU | NEW | 432 | - | - | 498,654 |
| NVDA | ADDED | 2,135 | 1,639 | 30.26% | 427,193 |
| HIG | UNCHANGED | 2,750 | 2,750 | 0.0% | 364,430 |
| HD | REDUCED | 976 | 1,009 | -3.27% | 344,168 |
| V | REDUCED | 828 | 861 | -3.83% | 284,079 |
| JPM | REDUCED | 824 | 900 | -8.44% | 269,720 |
| COHR | NEW | 675 | - | - | 266,268 |
| AMZN | UNCHANGED | 1,096 | 1,096 | 0.0% | 261,221 |
| ABBV | REDUCED | 954 | 989 | -3.54% | 240,065 |
| HWM | NEW | 777 | - | - | 208,905 |
| NIO | REDUCED | 33,195 | 37,012 | -10.31% | 167,967 |
| KODK | UNCHANGED | 11,160 | 11,160 | 0.0% | 103,230 |
Holdings (latest quarter)
| Ticker | Change | Issuer | Class | CUSIP | Value ($) | Weight % | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | ACTIVEBETA US LG | 381430503 | 117,345,447 | 12.55 | 827017.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | MSCI USA MMENTM | 46432F396 | 110,399,271 | 11.81 | 322023.0 | |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | US HIGH PROF ETF | 25434V831 | 67,168,827 | 7.18 | 1609605.0 | |
| BLK | ADDED | BLACKROCK ETF TRUST | ISHARES US EQUIT | 09290C103 | 59,949,737 | 6.41 | 881484.0 |
| - | ISHARES TR | NEW YORK MUN ETF | 464288323 | 51,540,911 | 5.51 | 956143.0 | |
| - | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | ACTIVEBETA INT | 381430107 | 48,610,321 | 5.2 | 1063683.0 | |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | INTL HIGH PROFIT | 25434V765 | 44,621,937 | 4.77 | 1307603.0 | |
| - | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | SHT TM US TRES | 808524862 | 42,459,076 | 4.54 | 1758868.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | MSCI USA MIN ETF | 46429B697 | 40,240,100 | 4.3 | 417169.0 | |
| - | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | INT-TRM U.S TRES | 808524854 | 38,823,428 | 4.15 | 1574348.0 | |
| - | AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | US SML CP VALU | 025072877 | 36,874,684 | 3.94 | 295565.0 | |
| - | FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | VLU FACTOR ETF | 316092782 | 34,576,803 | 3.7 | 443665.0 | |
| - | SPDR SERIES TRUST | ST INTER BD ETF | 78464A375 | 31,422,277 | 3.36 | 939100.0 | |
| - | AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | AVANTIS EMGMKT | 025072604 | 27,966,728 | 2.99 | 289841.0 | |
| - | FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | QLTY FCTOR ETF | 316092790 | 27,805,033 | 2.97 | 341750.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | 0-5YR HI YL CP | 46434V407 | 24,113,817 | 2.58 | 568588.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | CORE S&P US VLU | 464287663 | 20,853,970 | 2.23 | 189323.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | MSCI INTL VLU FT | 46435G409 | 15,928,492 | 1.7 | 380882.0 | |
| - | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | ACTIVEBETA US | 381430602 | 15,443,810 | 1.65 | 169229.0 | |
| - | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | FUNDAMENTAL INTL | 808524748 | 14,861,008 | 1.59 | 306034.0 | |
| - | SPDR SERIES TRUST | ST LON TREAS ETF | 78464A664 | 11,918,546 | 1.27 | 454386.0 | |
| - | STATE STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T | TR UNIT | 78462F103 | 9,501,804 | 1.02 | 12724.0 | |
| - | SPDR SERIES TRUST | ST STR P500ETF | 78464A854 | 5,161,916 | 0.55 | 58738.0 | |
| - | VANGUARD MUN BD FDS | TAX EXEMPT BD | 922907746 | 4,849,500 | 0.52 | 95878.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | RUSSELL 3000 ETF | 464287689 | 2,208,783 | 0.24 | 5180.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | RESIDENTIAL MULT | 464288562 | 2,187,510 | 0.23 | 23102.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | CORE MSCI TOTAL | 46432F834 | 1,976,469 | 0.21 | 20709.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | CORE S&P500 ETF | 464287200 | 1,813,796 | 0.19 | 2422.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | RUS 1000 VAL ETF | 464287598 | 1,508,158 | 0.16 | 6221.0 | |
| AAPL | ADDED | APPLE INC | COM | 037833100 | 1,402,721 | 0.15 | 4848.0 |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | US COR EQU 2 ETF | 25434V708 | 1,307,459 | 0.14 | 29474.0 | |
| - | SPDR SERIES TRUST | ST STR P400MID | 78464A847 | 1,233,030 | 0.13 | 18251.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | MSCI ACWI EX US | 464288240 | 1,210,727 | 0.13 | 15908.0 | |
| - | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | US BRD MKT ETF | 808524102 | 1,081,792 | 0.12 | 37355.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | RUSSELL 2000 ETF | 464287655 | 983,974 | 0.11 | 3275.0 | |
| BNL | REDUCED | BROADSTONE NET LEASE INC | COM | 11135E203 | 971,780 | 0.1 | 47014.0 |
| MSFT | REDUCED | MICROSOFT CORP | COM | 594918104 | 770,928 | 0.08 | 2067.0 |
| GOOGL | REDUCED | ALPHABET INC | CAP STK CL A | 02079K305 | 766,559 | 0.08 | 2145.0 |
| - | ISHARES TR | CORE S&P SCP ETF | 464287804 | 732,213 | 0.08 | 4937.0 | |
| TT | REDUCED | TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC | SHS | G8994E103 | 667,978 | 0.07 | 1360.0 |
| - | VANGUARD TAX-MANAGED FDS | VAN FTSE DEV MKT | 921943858 | 661,659 | 0.07 | 9286.0 | |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | US TARGETED VLU | 25434V609 | 606,201 | 0.06 | 8672.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | S&P 100 ETF | 464287101 | 589,051 | 0.06 | 1610.0 | |
| ETN | REDUCED | EATON CORP PLC | SHS | G29183103 | 522,424 | 0.06 | 1226.0 |
| - | ISHARES TR | MSCI ACWI ETF | 464288257 | 510,582 | 0.05 | 3253.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | INTRM GOV CR ETF | 464288612 | 508,939 | 0.05 | 4797.0 | |
| MU | NEW | MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | COM | 595112103 | 498,654 | 0.05 | 432.0 |
| - | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | ACCES TREASURY | 381430529 | 472,051 | 0.05 | 4713.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | 3 7 YR TREAS BD | 464288661 | 458,337 | 0.05 | 3902.0 | |
| NVDA | ADDED | NVIDIA CORPORATION | COM | 67066G104 | 427,193 | 0.05 | 2135.0 |
| - | SPDR SERIES TRUST | ST STR SP600 SML | 78468R853 | 402,344 | 0.04 | 6977.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | ESG OPTIMIZED | 464288802 | 398,933 | 0.04 | 2585.0 | |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | US MKTWIDE VALUE | 25434V724 | 365,574 | 0.04 | 6646.0 | |
| HIG | UNCHANGED | HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INC | COM | 416515104 | 364,430 | 0.04 | 2750.0 |
| HD | REDUCED | HOME DEPOT INC | COM | 437076102 | 344,168 | 0.04 | 976.0 |
| - | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | US SML CAP ETF | 808524607 | 319,390 | 0.03 | 8840.0 | |
| - | TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC | SPONSORED ADS | 874039100 | 317,107 | 0.03 | 664.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | CORE S&P MCP ETF | 464287507 | 295,409 | 0.03 | 3831.0 | |
| V | REDUCED | VISA INC | COM CL A | 92826C839 | 284,079 | 0.03 | 828.0 |
| JPM | REDUCED | JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | COM | 46625H100 | 269,720 | 0.03 | 824.0 |
| COHR | NEW | COHERENT CORP | COM | 19247G107 | 266,268 | 0.03 | 675.0 |
| AMZN | UNCHANGED | AMAZON COM INC | COM | 023135106 | 261,221 | 0.03 | 1096.0 |
| - | CREDO TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDI | ORDINARY SHARES | G25457105 | 243,396 | 0.03 | 895.0 | |
| ABBV | REDUCED | ABBVIE INC | COM | 00287Y109 | 240,065 | 0.03 | 954.0 |
| - | VANGUARD STAR FDS | VG TL INTL STK F | 921909768 | 217,239 | 0.02 | 2541.0 | |
| - | ASML HLDG NV | N Y REGISTRY SHS | N07059210 | 214,860 | 0.02 | 108.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | SHRT NAT MUN ETF | 464288158 | 209,833 | 0.02 | 1971.0 | |
| - | APPLIED MATLS INC | COM | 038222105 | 208,947 | 0.02 | 289.0 | |
| HWM | NEW | HOWMET AEROSPACE INC | COM | 443201108 | 208,905 | 0.02 | 777.0 |
| - | BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC DEL | CL B NEW | 084670702 | 206,161 | 0.02 | 412.0 | |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | US EQUI MARK ETF | 25434V401 | 204,900 | 0.02 | 2501.0 | |
| - | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | US SUSTAINABILTY | 25434V716 | 201,674 | 0.02 | 4325.0 | |
| - | ISHARES TR | RUS 2000 VAL ETF | 464287630 | 200,186 | 0.02 | 905.0 | |
| NIO | REDUCED | NIO INC | SPON ADS | 62914V106 | 167,967 | 0.02 | 33195.0 |
| KODK | UNCHANGED | EASTMAN KODAK CO | COM NEW | 277461406 | 103,230 | 0.01 | 11160.0 |
Quarterly portfolios
| Period | Filed | Value ($) | Positions | Vol % | Beta | Max DD % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-13 | 935,032,417 | 75 | 1.914905 | 0.074563 | 3.683307 |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-13 | 781,390,753 | 67 | 1.843944 | 0.071666 | 3.554346 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-29 | 749,877,178 | 73 | 1.103967 | 0.04381 | 2.095828 |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-14 | 729,324,841 | 65 | 1.102771 | 0.044506 | 2.10348 |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-04-16 | 599,570,039 | 55 | 0.975011 | 0.038207 | 1.840634 |
| 2024-12-31 | 2025-01-17 | 557,763,382 | 55 | 1.065726 | 0.042288 | 2.007475 |